Thursday, June 4, 2020
Cristobal Earliest Ever Third-Named Atlantic Tropical Storm
Tropical storm Cristobal is now the third named Atlantic tropical storm system in 2020, the all-time earliest in a hurricane season that this has happened. This morning it is in the eastern Bay of Campeche in the far-southern Gulf of Mexico, making a foray into the Yucatan Peninsula, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and lots and lots of rain. As much of it goes over land, the winds should keep declining somewhat...yesterday they were 60 mph...but the models have it projected to turn back northward into the open waters of the Gulf and restrengthen. Fortunately at this time, although the waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico are pretty warm and conducive to tropical storm development, in the north along Cristobal's projected path they are cooler...so at least for now don't expect it to transform into a hurricane. I'll be keeping my eye on the Weather Channel coverage to see any change in our direction of the models...right now almost all of them show the storm hitting somewhere in Louisiana at about 60 mph maximum strength with much precipitation. But anything entering Florida from the Gulf of Mexico around Cedar Key is a threat to my Gainesville...I wonder if it's too early to start looking into getting sandbags...
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