Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Tropical Storm Matthew Entering the Caribbean
Newly-named Tropical Storm Matthew, formerly Invest 97-L, is speeding westward at a 21 mph pace as it approaches the West Indies, focusing on the Martinique vicinity. According to the Weather Channel report I just saw, its maximum sustained winds are at 60 mph and it is expected to continue strengthening as it enters the warm waters of the Caribbean Sea. Matthew should continue its westward course through the central/southern Caribbean, largely missing Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, until the steering currents that determine its path force it abruptly into a northward direction. The sooner this "turn" happens, the better for us in Florida, since this dangerous storm would then more likely pass through eastern Cuba and then the Bahamas, avoiding our state. But should Matthew tarry along its westward course and make its northward shift later, we could be threatened. The predicted timetable for Matthew, at least for now, is for it to strengthen into a minimal hurricane by Friday morning, start making its shift in direction on Saturday morning...and by Monday morning be a much more dangerous hurricane with 105 mph maximum sustained winds and located in the Jamaica/eastern Cuba area. But as we all know, these forecasts are liable to change, and possibly drastically. Still, the various computer models currently seem to be in unusual agreement that Matthew will veer off to the east of Florida and eventually merge with a front sweeping down from the northwest. I don't know about you, but I'm quite content with missing out on this storm...assuming it follows the "prescribed" trajectory. I'm certainly going to keep an eye on the weather reports for the next few days...